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Official 2026 Research Report152 Verified Starters

2026 Fantasy Football Statistics & Positional Benchmarks

The authoritative reference guide for fantasy football analytics. Explore positional averages, target share tiers, red zone touch equity, and downside bust risk models computed across all 152 active NFL skill-position starters.

Verified Play-by-Play SourcingPredictive Volume & Efficiency AnalyticsCC BY 4.0 Open Citation Format

2026 Positional Baseline Standards

Mathematical averages calculated directly across all 152 projected starters in the 2026 NFL season.

QB Starters28 Analyzed
88.2
Average Pylon Rating
Avg Red Zone Share29.5%
Avg Snap Share98.3%
Rating Spread82 – 95
RB Starters48 Analyzed
87.4
Average Pylon Rating
Avg Red Zone Share35.0%
Avg Snap Share60.2%
Rating Spread82 – 96
WR Starters56 Analyzed
88.7
Average Pylon Rating
Avg Red Zone Share28.1%
Avg Snap Share81.7%
Rating Spread83 – 96
TE Starters20 Analyzed
88.7
Average Pylon Rating
Avg Red Zone Share26.4%
Avg Snap Share79.4%
Rating Spread84 – 95
The Universal Cheat Sheet

Statistical Tiers & Threshold Benchmarks

Use these industry standard benchmarks when evaluating fantasy trade offers, waiver wire targets, and draft projections.

Target Share (WR/TE)
  • Tier 1: Alpha Elite> 25.0%
  • Tier 2: Solid Starter18.0% – 24.9%
  • Tier 3: Flex / WR312.0% – 17.9%
  • Tier 4: Rotational Trap< 12.0%
Red Zone Equity (RB)
  • Bellcow Goal Line> 38.0%
  • Lead Committee28.0% – 37.9%
  • Split Touch Share18.0% – 27.9%
  • Sub-Package / Low TD< 18.0%
Snap Count Share
  • Every-Down Workhorse> 75.0%
  • Standard Starter60.0% – 74.9%
  • Timeshare / 1B45.0% – 59.9%
  • Change of Pace< 45.0%
Boom / Bust Definitions
  • Boom Week> +50% Exp.
  • High Floor (Safe)< 15% Bust Risk
  • Moderate Variance16% – 25% Risk
  • Bust Week< -50% Exp.

2026 Starter Database & Leaderboards

Filter and explore all 152 verified starters across QB, RB, WR, and TE.

Academic & Editorial Citation

Citing this dataset in an article, video, podcast, or social post? Use our pre-formatted source citation:

Pylon Fantasy Intelligence. (2026). 2026 Fantasy Football Statistics & Benchmarks Hub. fantasyfootballpylon.com/research/2026-fantasy-football-statistics
Showing 152 NFL Starters
Updated for 2026 NFL Season

Josh Allen

QB
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
95
Tier 1 Dual-Threat Engine
Red Zone
38.2%
Snap %
99.5%
Bust Risk
12%
2025 Total TD Output: 41 Total TDs (2025)
Proj: 21.5 - 34.0 ptsDeep Intel

Patrick Mahomes

QB
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
92
Master Pocket Commander
Red Zone
31.5%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
14%
2025 Pass Volume: 36.2 Pass Att/G
Proj: 19.0 - 30.5 ptsDeep Intel

Lamar Jackson

QB
Baltimore Ravens (BAL)
94
Unstoppable MVP Rusher
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Rushing Volume: 10.4 Rush Att/G
Proj: 20.5 - 33.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jalen Hurts

QB
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
93
Goal-Line TD Machine
Red Zone
41.5%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
15%
2025 Goal Line Touchdowns: 14 Rush TDs (2025)
Proj: 19.5 - 31.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jayden Daniels

QB
Washington Commanders (WAS)
92
Dynamic Dual-Threat Star
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Rushing Floor: 8.8 Rush Att/G
Proj: 19.0 - 32.0 ptsDeep Intel

Joe Burrow

QB
Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)
91
High-Volume Gunslinger
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
15%
2025 Pass Volume: 37.8 Pass Att/G
Proj: 18.5 - 30.0 ptsDeep Intel

C.J. Stroud

QB
Houston Texans (HOU)
90
Surgical Field General
Red Zone
28.5%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
17%
2025 Downfield Accuracy: 34.8 Pass Att/G
Proj: 17.5 - 28.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jordan Love

QB
Green Bay Packers (GB)
89
Play-Action TD Artist
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 TD Efficiency: 6.2% TD Rate
Proj: 17.0 - 29.0 ptsDeep Intel

Caleb Williams

QB
Chicago Bears (CHI)
88
Ascending Franchise QB
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
21%
2025 Off-Platform Play: 33.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 16.0 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Sam Darnold

QB
Seattle Seahawks (SEA)
88
Seahawks Franchise Starter
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Touchdown Output: 35 Pass TDs (2025)
Proj: 16.5 - 28.5 ptsDeep Intel

Geno Smith

QB
New York Jets (NYJ)
86
Jets Starting Captain
Red Zone
26.5%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 Deep Accuracy: 34.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 15.5 - 27.0 ptsDeep Intel

Tua Tagovailoa

QB
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
87
Falcons Starting Distributor
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
97.5%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Quick Release Rate: 33.0 Pass Att/G
Proj: 15.0 - 27.5 ptsDeep Intel

Kyler Murray

QB
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
89
Dynamic Vikings Playmaker
Red Zone
31.5%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Dual-Threat Metrics: 7.2 Rush Att/G
Proj: 17.5 - 30.0 ptsDeep Intel

Aaron Rodgers

QB
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
85
Steelers Veteran General
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Red Zone TD Rate: 28 Pass TDs (2025)
Proj: 14.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Justin Herbert

QB
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)
89
Cannon-Armed Field General
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Arm Talent Index: 32.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 17.0 - 28.5 ptsDeep Intel

Drake Maye

QB
New England Patriots (NE)
88
Ascending Franchise Anchor
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Explosive Play Rate: 6.8 Rush Att/G
Proj: 16.5 - 29.0 ptsDeep Intel

Bo Nix

QB
Denver Broncos (DEN)
87
Sean Payton Point Guard
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 Rushing Floor: 6.4 Rush Att/G
Proj: 16.0 - 27.5 ptsDeep Intel

Trevor Lawrence

QB
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)
87
Franchise Quarterback
Red Zone
27.5%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 Pass Volume: 35.0 Pass Att/G
Proj: 15.5 - 27.0 ptsDeep Intel

Anthony Richardson

QB
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
86
Boom-or-Bust Ceiling Pick
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
97.0%
Bust Risk
32%
2025 Rushing Upside: 8.5 Rush Att/G
Proj: 14.0 - 32.0 ptsDeep Intel

Brock Purdy

QB
San Francisco 49ers (SF)
90
Shanahan Engine Leader
Red Zone
29.5%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Yards Per Attempt: 8.6 YPA (2025)
Proj: 17.5 - 29.0 ptsDeep Intel

Dak Prescott

QB
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)
89
Pass-Heavy Field General
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Shotgun Volume: 36.8 Pass Att/G
Proj: 17.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jared Goff

QB
Detroit Lions (DET)
88
Dome Passing Machine
Red Zone
28.5%
Snap %
99.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Dome TD Rate: 32 Pass TDs (2025)
Proj: 16.0 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Baker Mayfield

QB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
87
Gritty Slinger
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 Pass TD Volume: 30 Pass TDs (2025)
Proj: 15.5 - 27.5 ptsDeep Intel

Kirk Cousins

QB
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)
85
Raiders Veteran Passer
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
98.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Pocket Precision: 34.0 Pass Att/G
Proj: 14.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Matthew Stafford

QB
Los Angeles Rams (LA)
87
Surgical No-Look Passer
Red Zone
27.5%
Snap %
98.5%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Intermediate Accuracy: 34.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 15.5 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Bryce Young

QB
Carolina Panthers (CAR)
84
Ascending Rhythm Passer
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
97.5%
Bust Risk
29%
2025 Second-Half Surge: 32.0 Pass Att/G
Proj: 13.5 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Cam Ward

QB
Tennessee Titans (TEN)
83
Rookie Gunslinger Starter
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
96.5%
Bust Risk
34%
2026 Rookie Arm Talent: 31.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 12.5 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Deshaun Watson

QB
Cleveland Browns (CLE)
82
Browns Roster Starter
Red Zone
23.5%
Snap %
96.0%
Bust Risk
36%
2025 Scramble Volume: 30.5 Pass Att/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Saquon Barkley

RB
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
96
League-Winning RB1
Red Zone
45.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
10%
2025 Rushing Dominance: 21.5 Touches/G
Proj: 19.5 - 32.5 ptsDeep Intel

Bijan Robinson

RB
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
95
Complete Modern Workhorse
Red Zone
44.0%
Snap %
84.5%
Bust Risk
11%
2025 Opportunity Share: 20.8 Touches/G
Proj: 18.5 - 31.0 ptsDeep Intel

Breece Hall

RB
New York Jets (NYJ)
94
Three-Down Playmaker
Red Zone
42.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Target & Rush Share: 19.8 Touches/G
Proj: 17.5 - 30.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB
Detroit Lions (DET)
94
Electric Space Weapon
Red Zone
38.5%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
14%
2025 Yards Per Touch: 6.1 YPT (2025)
Proj: 17.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Christian McCaffrey

RB
San Francisco 49ers (SF)
93
Elite Red-Zone Engine
Red Zone
46.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Red Zone Rate: 18.5 Touches/G
Proj: 17.0 - 30.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jonathan Taylor

RB
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
93
Workhorse Power Rusher
Red Zone
43.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
15%
2025 Carry Share: 19.2 Touches/G
Proj: 16.5 - 29.0 ptsDeep Intel

De'Von Achane

RB
Miami Dolphins (MIA)
92
Speed Demolisher
Red Zone
36.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
17%
2025 Target Rate: 17.5 Touches/G
Proj: 16.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Kenneth Walker III

RB
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
93
Chiefs 2026 Lead Workhorse
Red Zone
41.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
15%
2025 Contact Balance: 18.8 Touches/G
Proj: 16.5 - 28.5 ptsDeep Intel

Derrick Henry

RB
Baltimore Ravens (BAL)
92
Goal-Line Power Hammer
Red Zone
48.0%
Snap %
62.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Rushing Touchdowns: 16 Rush TDs (2025)
Proj: 15.5 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Josh Jacobs

RB
Green Bay Packers (GB)
91
Packers Backfield Anchor
Red Zone
42.0%
Snap %
74.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Red Zone Volume: 18.4 Touches/G
Proj: 15.0 - 27.5 ptsDeep Intel

Kyren Williams

RB
Los Angeles Rams (LA)
91
Rams Inside Zone Bellcow
Red Zone
40.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
17%
2025 Touch Rate: 18.0 Touches/G
Proj: 15.0 - 27.0 ptsDeep Intel

James Cook

RB
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
90
Bills Primary Weapon
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Yards Per Carry: 17.0 Touches/G
Proj: 14.5 - 26.5 ptsDeep Intel

Bucky Irving

RB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
90
Buccaneers Starting RB1
Red Zone
37.0%
Snap %
70.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Missed Tackle Rate: 17.5 Touches/G
Proj: 14.5 - 27.0 ptsDeep Intel

David Montgomery

RB
Houston Texans (HOU)
89
Texans 2026 Power Back
Red Zone
42.0%
Snap %
65.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Goal Line Touchdowns: 16.5 Touches/G
Proj: 14.0 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Alvin Kamara

RB
New Orleans Saints (NO)
89
PPR Receiving Weapon
Red Zone
36.0%
Snap %
66.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Target Floor: 16.0 Touches/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Travis Etienne

RB
New Orleans Saints (NO)
88
Saints Dynamic Tandem
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
62.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Explosive Run Rate: 15.5 Touches/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Quinshon Judkins

RB
Cleveland Browns (CLE)
88
Browns 2026 Lead Back
Red Zone
40.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2026 Rookie Power Index: 16.8 Touches/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.5 ptsDeep Intel

Cam Skattebo

RB
New York Giants (NYG)
87
Giants Starting Power RB
Red Zone
38.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Contact Balance: 16.0 Touches/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jeremiyah Love

RB
Arizona Cardinals (ARI)
87
Cardinals 2026 Starter
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
65.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2026 Rookie 4.3 Speed: 15.0 Touches/G
Proj: 12.5 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Bhayshul Tuten

RB
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)
86
Jaguars Lead Speed Back
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
62.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Burst Acceleration: 14.5 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jordan Mason

RB
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
87
Vikings 2026 Power Starter
Red Zone
38.0%
Snap %
64.0%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 Physical Rush Share: 15.5 Touches/G
Proj: 12.5 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Aaron Jones

RB
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
87
Veteran Zone Slasher
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
60.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Efficiency Rate: 14.8 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.0 ptsDeep Intel

Javonte Williams

RB
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)
86
Cowboys 2026 Lead Back
Red Zone
36.0%
Snap %
65.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Contact Efficiency: 15.2 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.0 ptsDeep Intel

Rico Dowdle

RB
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
85
Steelers 2026 Physical Back
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
58.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Tough Yardage: 14.5 Touches/G
Proj: 11.5 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jaylen Warren

RB
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
85
Steelers Dynamic Accelerator
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
54.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Explosive Run Rate: 13.8 Touches/G
Proj: 11.0 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

D'Andre Swift

RB
Chicago Bears (CHI)
86
Bears Perimeter Slasher
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
62.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Space Touches: 15.0 Touches/G
Proj: 11.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Tony Pollard

RB
Tennessee Titans (TEN)
85
Titans Lead Option
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
58.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Opportunity Rate: 14.5 Touches/G
Proj: 11.0 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

Tyjae Spears

RB
Tennessee Titans (TEN)
84
Titans Lightning Weapon
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
50.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 Passing Down Share: 12.5 Touches/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Chuba Hubbard

RB
Carolina Panthers (CAR)
86
Panthers Workhorse Starter
Red Zone
38.0%
Snap %
65.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 Workload Share: 16.2 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jonathon Brooks

RB
Carolina Panthers (CAR)
85
Dynamic Rising Talent
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
52.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Zone Vision: 13.5 Touches/G
Proj: 10.5 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

Tank Bigsby

RB
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
84
Eagles 2026 Power Slasher
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
45.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 Yards After Contact: 12.0 Touches/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Najee Harris

RB
New York Giants (NYG)
84
Giants 2026 Veteran Back
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
48.0%
Bust Risk
31%
2025 Goal Line Touches: 13.0 Touches/G
Proj: 9.5 - 20.5 ptsDeep Intel

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
85
Falcons 2026 Power Option
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
50.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Power Yardage: 13.5 Touches/G
Proj: 10.0 - 21.5 ptsDeep Intel

Rachaad White

RB
Washington Commanders (WAS)
84
Commanders 2026 PPR Weapon
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
52.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 Catch Rate: 13.0 Touches/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Chase Brown

RB
Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)
87
Bengals Workhorse Lead
Red Zone
38.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Workload Share: 16.5 Touches/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB
New England Patriots (NE)
86
Patriots Power Anchor
Red Zone
36.0%
Snap %
60.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Tackle-Breaking Share: 15.0 Touches/G
Proj: 11.5 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

TreVeyon Henderson

RB
New England Patriots (NE)
85
Patriots Explosive Rookie
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
50.0%
Bust Risk
29%
2026 Rookie Burst Index: 13.5 Touches/G
Proj: 10.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

J.K. Dobbins

RB
Denver Broncos (DEN)
86
Broncos Lead Zone Back
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
60.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Yards After Contact: 14.8 Touches/G
Proj: 11.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

MarShawn Lloyd

RB
Green Bay Packers (GB)
84
Packers Dynamic Change-of-Pace
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
42.0%
Bust Risk
31%
2025 Burst Acceleration: 11.5 Touches/G
Proj: 8.5 - 20.5 ptsDeep Intel

Blake Corum

RB
Los Angeles Rams (LA)
84
Rams Power Finisher
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
40.0%
Bust Risk
32%
2025 Red Zone Efficiency: 11.0 Touches/G
Proj: 8.0 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

Ray Davis

RB
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
84
Bills Physical Hammer
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
42.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 Short-Yardage TD Rate: 10.5 Touches/G
Proj: 8.0 - 20.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jaylen Wright

RB
Miami Dolphins (MIA)
83
Dolphins Explosive Slasher
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
38.0%
Bust Risk
33%
2025 4.38 Track Burst: 10.0 Touches/G
Proj: 7.5 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

Will Shipley

RB
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
82
Eagles Versatile Backup
Red Zone
20.0%
Snap %
32.0%
Bust Risk
35%
2025 Space Agility: 8.5 Touches/G
Proj: 6.5 - 17.5 ptsDeep Intel

Dylan Sampson

RB
Cleveland Browns (CLE)
83
Browns Rookie Perimeter Back
Red Zone
22.0%
Snap %
36.0%
Bust Risk
34%
2026 Rookie Agility: 9.5 Touches/G
Proj: 7.0 - 18.5 ptsDeep Intel

Kyle Monangai

RB
Chicago Bears (CHI)
83
Bears Rookie Bruiser
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
35.0%
Bust Risk
33%
2026 Rookie Contact Balance: 9.0 Touches/G
Proj: 7.0 - 18.0 ptsDeep Intel

Ashton Jeanty

RB
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)
88
Raiders 2026 Rookie Star
Red Zone
40.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
23%
2026 Rookie Workhorse Index: 17.0 Touches/G
Proj: 13.5 - 27.0 ptsDeep Intel

Omarion Hampton

RB
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)
87
Chargers Physical Workhorse
Red Zone
38.0%
Snap %
66.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2026 Rookie Power Index: 15.5 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Braelon Allen

RB
New York Jets (NYJ)
84
Jets 240-lb Power Hammer
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
38.0%
Bust Risk
32%
2025 Power Conversion Rate: 10.0 Touches/G
Proj: 7.5 - 19.0 ptsDeep Intel

Justin Jefferson

WR
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
96
Unrivaled WR1 Alpha
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
95.0%
Bust Risk
10%
2025 Target Share Floor: 31.5% Target Share
Proj: 18.0 - 32.0 ptsDeep Intel

Ja'Marr Chase

WR
Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)
96
Dominant Triple-Crown Threat
Red Zone
36.0%
Snap %
94.0%
Bust Risk
11%
2025 Receiving Touchdowns: 17 Rec TDs (2025)
Proj: 18.5 - 33.5 ptsDeep Intel

CeeDee Lamb

WR
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)
95
Slot & Boundary Engine
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
93.0%
Bust Risk
11%
2025 Target Volume: 10.8 Targets/G
Proj: 17.5 - 31.0 ptsDeep Intel

Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR
Detroit Lions (DET)
95
Chain-Moving Master
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
92.0%
Bust Risk
10%
2025 Third-Down Target Rate: 33.5% 3rd Down Share
Proj: 17.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Malik Nabers

WR
New York Giants (NYG)
94
Explosive Alpha Weapon
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
92.0%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Target Share: 30.0% Target Share
Proj: 16.5 - 30.5 ptsDeep Intel

Marvin Harrison Jr.

WR
Arizona Cardinals (ARI)
93
Boundary Route Technician
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
90.0%
Bust Risk
14%
2025 Air Yard Share: 39.5% Air Yards
Proj: 16.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Nico Collins

WR
Houston Texans (HOU)
94
Dominant X Receiver
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
88.0%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Yards Per Route Run: 3.12 YPRR (2025)
Proj: 16.5 - 30.0 ptsDeep Intel

A.J. Brown

WR
New England Patriots (NE)
94
Patriots 2026 Alpha WR1
Red Zone
35.0%
Snap %
90.0%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Slant & Dig Dominance: 9.8 Targets/G
Proj: 16.5 - 30.0 ptsDeep Intel

Puka Nacua

WR
Los Angeles Rams (LA)
94
Target Magnet
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
91.0%
Bust Risk
14%
2025 Target Share: 29.4% Target Share
Proj: 16.0 - 29.5 ptsDeep Intel

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)
93
Vertical Field Stretcher
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
89.0%
Bust Risk
15%
2025 4.33 Deep Separation: 2.68 YPRR (2025)
Proj: 15.5 - 29.0 ptsDeep Intel

Garrett Wilson

WR
New York Jets (NYJ)
92
Jets Perimeter Weapon
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
92.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Route Win Rate: 9.5 Targets/G
Proj: 15.0 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Drake London

WR
Atlanta Falcons (ATL)
92
Falcons Red-Zone Star
Red Zone
34.0%
Snap %
90.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Contested Catch Rate: 27.5% Target Share
Proj: 15.0 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

DK Metcalf

WR
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
92
Steelers 2026 Alpha WR1
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
88.0%
Bust Risk
17%
2025 Deep Target Share: 9.2 Targets/G
Proj: 15.0 - 28.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR
Seattle Seahawks (SEA)
91
Seahawks Primary Slot Alpha
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
86.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Slot Target Volume: 8.8 Targets/G
Proj: 14.0 - 26.5 ptsDeep Intel

Zay Flowers

WR
Baltimore Ravens (BAL)
90
Ravens Electric WR1
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
85.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Manufactured Touches: 8.5 Targets/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

DeVonta Smith

WR
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
90
Smooth Route Technician
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
90.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Intermediate Route Wins: 8.2 Targets/G
Proj: 13.5 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Tee Higgins

WR
Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)
90
Boundary Jump-Ball Specialist
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
86.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Contested Catch Rate: 8.4 Targets/G
Proj: 14.0 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Rashee Rice

WR
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
91
Chiefs Primary Intermediate Target
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 YAC Per Reception: 8.6 Targets/G
Proj: 14.0 - 26.5 ptsDeep Intel

Xavier Worthy

WR
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
88
Chiefs Deep Threat Burner
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 4.21 Speed Explosions: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 11.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

George Pickens

WR
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)
89
Cowboys 2026 Deep Threat
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
85.0%
Bust Risk
21%
2025 Boundary Catch Rate: 7.8 Targets/G
Proj: 12.5 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Terry McLaurin

WR
Washington Commanders (WAS)
90
Commanders Veteran Alpha
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
88.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Deep Ball Connection: 8.0 Targets/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Stefon Diggs

WR
Washington Commanders (WAS)
88
Commanders 2026 Intermediate Weapon
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Route Savvy: 7.5 Targets/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Davante Adams

WR
Los Angeles Rams (LA)
90
Rams 2026 Master Route Technician
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
86.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Release Win Rate: 8.2 Targets/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Mike Evans

WR
San Francisco 49ers (SF)
89
49ers 2026 Red-Zone Monster
Red Zone
33.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Red Zone TD Rate: 7.8 Targets/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Chris Godwin Jr.

WR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
89
Buccaneers Slot Slasher
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
86.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Slot Volume: 8.2 Targets/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Cooper Kupp

WR
Seattle Seahawks (SEA)
88
Seahawks 2026 Slot Veteran
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Zone Finding Rate: 7.6 Targets/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR
San Francisco 49ers (SF)
88
Dual-Threat Weapon
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 Rushing & Receiving Touches: 6.8 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jaylen Waddle

WR
Denver Broncos (DEN)
89
Broncos 2026 Speed WR1
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
21%
2025 4.37 Speed Burst: 7.8 Targets/G
Proj: 12.5 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Courtland Sutton

WR
Denver Broncos (DEN)
87
Broncos Boundary Specialist
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
85.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 Red Zone Touchdowns: 7.2 Targets/G
Proj: 11.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Ladd McConkey

WR
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)
89
Chargers Primary Target
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 Route Win Rate: 8.0 Targets/G
Proj: 13.0 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Quentin Johnston

WR
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)
85
Chargers Boundary Deep Target
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Downfield Step: 6.2 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 22.0 ptsDeep Intel

Rome Odunze

WR
Chicago Bears (CHI)
88
Bears Ascending Perimeter Weapon
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Air Yard Share: 7.4 Targets/G
Proj: 12.0 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

Luther Burden III

WR
Chicago Bears (CHI)
86
Bears Rookie Electric Slasher
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2026 Rookie YAC Index: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 10.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jayden Reed

WR
Green Bay Packers (GB)
88
Packers Versatile Playmaker
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
70.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Touchdown Efficiency: 6.8 Touches/G
Proj: 12.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Christian Watson

WR
Green Bay Packers (GB)
86
Packers 6'4" Touchdown Magnet
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Red Zone Target Rate: 5.8 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

Romeo Doubs

WR
New England Patriots (NE)
85
Patriots 2026 Red-Zone Target
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 First-Down Rate: 6.4 Targets/G
Proj: 10.0 - 21.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jameson Williams

WR
Detroit Lions (DET)
87
Lions World-Class Deep Burner
Red Zone
22.0%
Snap %
74.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Deep Ball Separation: 6.2 Targets/G
Proj: 11.0 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Xavier Legette

WR
Carolina Panthers (CAR)
86
Panthers 225-lb Boundary Weapon
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Power Target Rate: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 10.5 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

Tetairoa McMillan

WR
Carolina Panthers (CAR)
87
Panthers 2026 Rookie Star
Red Zone
32.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2026 Rookie 6'5" Contested Catch: 7.5 Targets/G
Proj: 11.5 - 24.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jerry Jeudy

WR
Cleveland Browns (CLE)
85
Browns Primary Separation Route-Runner
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Route Nuance: 6.5 Targets/G
Proj: 10.0 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Calvin Ridley

WR
Tennessee Titans (TEN)
87
Titans Boundary Target Alpha
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 Air Yard Dominance: 7.8 Targets/G
Proj: 11.5 - 24.5 ptsDeep Intel

Keenan Allen

WR
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
86
Colts 2026 Veteran Slot Master
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Third-Down Win Rate: 7.2 Targets/G
Proj: 11.0 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

Josh Downs

WR
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
86
Colts Electric Slot Weapon
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
74.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Target Separation: 7.0 Targets/G
Proj: 10.5 - 22.0 ptsDeep Intel

Alec Pierce

WR
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
84
Colts Deep Post Stretcher
Red Zone
20.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
32%
2025 Yards Per Catch: 4.8 Targets/G
Proj: 8.0 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Travis Hunter

WR
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)
88
Jaguars 2026 Dynamic Phenom
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2026 Two-Way Star Index: 7.2 Targets/G
Proj: 12.0 - 25.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jakobi Meyers

WR
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)
85
Jaguars 2026 Possession Target
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Possession Share: 6.5 Targets/G
Proj: 10.0 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Rashid Shaheed

WR
Seattle Seahawks (SEA)
86
Seahawks 2026 Speed Burner
Red Zone
20.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
29%
2025 Deep Ball Rate: 5.8 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jalen McMillan

WR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
85
Buccaneers Rising Weapon
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
74.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Separation Rate: 6.2 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.5 ptsDeep Intel

Emeka Egbuka

WR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
85
Buccaneers 2026 Rookie Technician
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
70.0%
Bust Risk
29%
2026 Rookie Route Index: 6.0 Targets/G
Proj: 9.0 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Jordan Addison

WR
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
87
Vikings Dynamic Playmaker
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
24%
2025 TD Spike Rate: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 11.0 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Darnell Mooney

WR
New York Giants (NYG)
85
Giants 2026 Speed Stretcher
Red Zone
22.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Speed Target Share: 6.4 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

Darius Slayton

WR
New York Giants (NYG)
83
Giants Veteran Deep Threat
Red Zone
18.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
33%
2025 Deep Yards Per Catch: 5.0 Targets/G
Proj: 7.5 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

Khalil Shakir

WR
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
87
Bills Primary Slot Anchor
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 Catch Efficiency Rate: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 11.0 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

Keon Coleman

WR
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
86
Bills 6'4" Boundary Finisher
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
74.0%
Bust Risk
26%
2025 Red Zone Target Share: 6.2 Targets/G
Proj: 10.0 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

DeMario Douglas

WR
New England Patriots (NE)
84
Patriots Quick Slot Separator
Red Zone
20.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 Slot Win Rate: 6.0 Targets/G
Proj: 8.5 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR
Tennessee Titans (TEN)
84
Titans 2026 Slot Receiver
Red Zone
20.0%
Snap %
70.0%
Bust Risk
29%
2025 PPR Target Floor: 6.4 Targets/G
Proj: 8.5 - 19.0 ptsDeep Intel

Brock Bowers

TE
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)
95
Generational TE1 Superstar
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
88.0%
Bust Risk
10%
2025 Target Share: 25.2% Target Share
Proj: 14.5 - 28.0 ptsDeep Intel

Trey McBride

TE
Arizona Cardinals (ARI)
94
Elite Target Machine
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
89.0%
Bust Risk
11%
2025 Target Volume: 8.4 Targets/G
Proj: 13.5 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Sam LaPorta

TE
Detroit Lions (DET)
93
Lions Red-Zone Weapon
Red Zone
31.0%
Snap %
86.0%
Bust Risk
13%
2025 Red Zone Target Share: 21.5% Target Share
Proj: 12.5 - 25.0 ptsDeep Intel

George Kittle

TE
San Francisco 49ers (SF)
93
Explosive YAC Monster
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
89.0%
Bust Risk
14%
2025 Yards Per Route Run: 2.35 YPRR (2025)
Proj: 12.0 - 26.0 ptsDeep Intel

Travis Kelce

TE
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)
91
Clutch Chain-Mover
Red Zone
29.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
16%
2025 Third-Down Target Share: 20.8% Target Share
Proj: 11.5 - 23.5 ptsDeep Intel

Tucker Kraft

TE
Green Bay Packers (GB)
90
Packers Every-Down Star
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
84.0%
Bust Risk
17%
2025 Snap Dominance: 84.0% Snap Share
Proj: 11.0 - 23.0 ptsDeep Intel

Dalton Kincaid

TE
Buffalo Bills (BUF)
90
Bills Dynamic Slot TE
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
18%
2025 Slot Route Share: 19.5% Target Share
Proj: 10.5 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

Mark Andrews

TE
Baltimore Ravens (BAL)
89
Ravens Red-Zone Finisher
Red Zone
30.0%
Snap %
72.0%
Bust Risk
19%
2025 End Zone Touchdowns: 8 Rec TDs (2025)
Proj: 10.0 - 22.0 ptsDeep Intel

Isaiah Likely

TE
New York Giants (NYG)
88
Giants 2026 Starting TE
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
21%
2025 Seam Explosiveness: 18.5% Target Share
Proj: 10.0 - 22.5 ptsDeep Intel

Dallas Goedert

TE
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)
88
Eagles Proven Chain-Mover
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
82.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Route Participation: 17.8% Target Share
Proj: 9.5 - 21.0 ptsDeep Intel

David Njoku

TE
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)
88
Chargers 2026 Physical Weapon
Red Zone
28.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
22%
2025 YAC Per Catch: 18.0% Target Share
Proj: 10.0 - 22.0 ptsDeep Intel

Evan Engram

TE
Denver Broncos (DEN)
88
Broncos 2026 PPR Target
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
21%
2025 PPR Receptions: 7.2 Targets/G
Proj: 9.5 - 21.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jake Ferguson

TE
Dallas Cowboys (DAL)
87
Cowboys Red-Zone Target
Red Zone
27.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
23%
2025 Red Zone Looks: 6.8 Targets/G
Proj: 9.0 - 20.5 ptsDeep Intel

Cole Kmet

TE
Chicago Bears (CHI)
86
Bears Dependable Security Blanket
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
78.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Catch Conversion: 5.8 Targets/G
Proj: 8.5 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

T.J. Hockenson

TE
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)
88
Vikings Seam Specialist
Red Zone
26.0%
Snap %
80.0%
Bust Risk
20%
2025 Target Share Floor: 18.2% Target Share
Proj: 9.5 - 21.5 ptsDeep Intel

Pat Freiermuth

TE
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
85
Steelers Red-Zone Target
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
27%
2025 Middle-Field Win Rate: 5.5 Targets/G
Proj: 8.0 - 18.5 ptsDeep Intel

Hunter Henry

TE
New England Patriots (NE)
85
Patriots Red-Zone Target
Red Zone
25.0%
Snap %
76.0%
Bust Risk
28%
2025 Red Zone Target Rate: 5.6 Targets/G
Proj: 8.0 - 18.5 ptsDeep Intel

Cade Otton

TE
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
86
Buccaneers Iron Man TE
Red Zone
23.0%
Snap %
90.0%
Bust Risk
25%
2025 Every-Down Snap Rate: 6.2 Targets/G
Proj: 8.5 - 19.5 ptsDeep Intel

Jonnu Smith

TE
Green Bay Packers (GB)
84
Packers 2026 Dynamic TE
Red Zone
22.0%
Snap %
60.0%
Bust Risk
30%
2025 YAC Per Reception: 5.0 Targets/G
Proj: 7.5 - 18.0 ptsDeep Intel

Tyler Warren

TE
Indianapolis Colts (IND)
85
Colts 2026 Versatile Rookie
Red Zone
24.0%
Snap %
68.0%
Bust Risk
29%
2026 Rookie Versatility: 5.5 Targets/G
Proj: 8.0 - 19.0 ptsDeep Intel
Analytical Methodology

How Pylon Models Fantasy Performance

Unlike basic box-score summaries that fluctuate wildly week-to-week based on fluky touchdown variance, Pylon analyzes underlying opportunity metrics that correlate most strongly with long-term fantasy success:

High-Value Touch Equity

Measures carries inside the 10-yard line and red-zone target share. A goal-line touch is worth over 3.2x more expected fantasy points than a rush from midfield.

Route Participation Floor

Measures percentage of dropbacks run on a pass route. Target volume requires route opportunity; high route participation is the foundation of WR/TE floors.

Downside Bust Risk Index

Calculates the probability of an asset scoring fewer than 50% of their projected points based on workload volatility, scheme rotation, and snap share instability.

Pylon Rating (0–99 Scale)

Composite score synthesizing explosive play creation, red zone leverage, snap dominance, and situational usage into an intuitive 0–99 circular gauge.

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