Sam Darnold vs. Geno Smith

When evaluating Sam Darnold (SEA) against Geno Smith (NYJ) for 2026 fantasy football lineups, volume security and high-value touch equity form the foundation of our projection models. In completed 2025 performance, Sam Darnold posted a 2025 touchdown output of 35 Pass TDs (2025) with a 29.0% red zone rate, while Geno Smith registered a 2025 deep accuracy of 34.5 Pass Att/G alongside a 26.5% red zone share.

In terms of downside protection, Pylon's machine learning bust risk algorithm rates Sam Darnold at 22% Low risk compared to 24% Moderate for Geno Smith. Roster construction, offensive play-calling speed, and red-zone goal-line conversion efficiency remain the deciding factors between these two elite fantasy starters.